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13
Jun

European Morning Update 5th June 2008

A quiet Asian session sees the Dollar underpinned ahead of the ECB & BOE rate decisions

Releases from Australia:
Forecast Actual
April Trade Balance AUD -1.70bn -957mn

Coal and gold exports provided Australia with a large decrease in their trade deficit while a 10% drop in capital goods imports also contributed. The drop in capital goods was caused by a large drop in civil aircraft together with machinery and industrial equipment.

The Aussie remained under pressure this morning having backed off from overnight highs at 0.9628 but until the 0.9519 support gives way we still cannot rule out one final high. However, the overwhelming technical evidence suggests a major high is due around this time and by far the greater risk is on the downside.

The following economic releases are due today:

April
German Factory Orders (MoM) +0.4%
German Factory Orders (YoY) +6.4%

May
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (31st) 370K
U.S. Continuing Claims (24th)

The ECB & BOE are due to announce their rate decisions

The stronger Dollar bullish argument does seem to be following through. Cable broke down below 1.9695 and is edging lower again this morning as is the Euro but at this point I think we still need to be cautious as I’m rather reluctant to call a direct stronger rally right now. Cable really has a messy structure though it’s difficult to argue with the bearishness but the problem I have with it is that even the bearish projections don’t seem bearish enough…

Looking at the Euro there does seem to be a good argument for a short term base around 1.5361 and we can use this as a marker. Hourly momentum is quite bearish while the 4-hour momentum does have potential to form a bullish divergence. However, I am also aware that the Swissie did enough to complete a triangle at yesterday’s 1.0360 level and if that’s the case the next move should be back up to 1.0623 once again. A clean break above 1.0489 Swissie and below the 1.5361 Euro support will provide the confirmation of direct extension. If that is seen then watch out for a test of the 1.5255-83 Euro area while a more distant target is at 1.5082.

Dollar-Yen, in spite of breaking my support is back on its way higher and while I cannot be sure on the short-term wave structure I can only repeat the 106.82-00 target which is crucial in the medium term. Along with this we should be aware of the 161.18-25 support in Euro-Yen.

And to complete the set, the Aussie has been as erratic as could be imagined. It’s still balanced between a larger reversal lower and one final test higher. Below 0.9519 would be pushing the bearish case. The Canada reached my longer target without much of a correction at all. However, I feel now that the 1.0190 area should force a slightly larger pullback before it can complete the move towards the 1.0325 corrective peak.

Note important support and resistance areas:

USDJPY EURUSD USDCHF GBPUSD
Res: 106.82-00 1.5531-76 1.0585-23 1.9636-65
Res: 105.86-20 1.5460-82 1.0460-89 1.9530-50

Spt: 105.10-30 1.5361-83 1.0390-30 1.9478-98
Spt: 104.20-50 1.5255-83 1.0296-20 1.9390-20

See Also

Source:
http://forex.gftforex.com/public/item/205985

08
Jun

Review of Forex Killer, Money a plenty or problem creator

Shhhss.. Don’t say it aloud, the unthinkable is on the brinks! Recession is on the lips of those on the know and our leaders, the ones who should are at a loss! Be that as it may, why is it that I am not taking about my review of Forex Killer instead?

I realized I should have started the article with the real subject, a commission to write a review of Forex Killer, and I promise I will and to show that I am serious, and for those of you who don’t know what Forex stands for by the way, here goes: Foreign exchange!

But even though this might be reminiscent of a plain and old fashion rant, I thought I’d take the opportunity to add a little salt to the fire and mention the cost of gasoline!

What about them prices? Is what I want to know Messrs. Bush and company! Back in the days.. ooh say two years ago, filling my car up with gas used to set me back around 30 bucks! Fifty two dollars is what I paid today!

Of course high prices at the pumps spill over to just about every section of the economy! It all started with the house market, spread to the price of oil and then everything else becomes fair game. Even the old folks are worried about the current state of our economy and that worries me even more!

And so more and more entrepreneurs are branching out, (or in) as in this case they leave their corporate world to enter the home business industry and all I can say is: bless us all!

I am a home business owner and for the past 20 years, I have spread my wings in this unique world, acquiring knowledge that somehow induces people to ask me for my views on a particular product. And thus, this is a review of Forex Killer.

The very first aspect of a product or service’s review is to discover its refund policy. If I am serious about investing my hard money into something, there better be some guarantee that should the product not meet my expectations, I ought to be able to return for a full and unconditional refund! If there isn’t, I simply do not purchase said product or service.

In the case of the review at hand, and when it comes to refund, Forex Killer is a winner! With a generous 58 days for you to test and review Forex Killer, you really do not take much of a risk

To make this risk free policy even more attractive, Forex Killer is sold through Clickbank who are the giants of online e-products and have their own guarantee in place as an extra security layer and this really good enough as far as I am concerned.

Next in my list of things to check is the notoriety a product has in the world of online re-sellers and in that respect, Forex Killer also claims top prize. Indeed affiliates have been selling this product for some time now which is an indication that the product is well received by their clients who chose to keep on using it for themselves, a good indication that they are perfectly happy with it!

Forex Killer is an attractive software offering with real promises. It is sold with a double layer of protection which makes it an ideal product to test for yourself.

I would recommend that you do indeed try Forex Killer. If after 50 days or so you are still not making any money, nor do not see real potential for earning an income, then it will be time to get your money back.

If on the other hand you turn out to be just like the majority of satisfied users out there, who, having run their own review of Forex Killer are now making plenty of money with it, then congratulations.

Whatever it is, I pray for good fortune to always smile on you and your family!

About the Author:
30
Jan

Forex Trading: The Perfect Forex Trading System

Trading in the Forex market has become popular in the last few years. However, only 10% of traders achieve consistent profitable results. One of the main reasons for this is that Forex traders are focusing on the wrong information. They have forgotten about the most important factor, Price Behaviour.

 

Technical Indicators

 

Studying and analysing technical indicators (a moving average (MA) crossover, overbought/oversold conditions in an oscillator, etc.) are what most successful Forex trading systems consist of. Technical indicators are just a series of data points plotted in a chart. These points are derived from a mathematical formula applied to the price of any given currency pair. That is to say, it is a chart of price plotted in a different way that helps us see other aspects of price.

 

Price behaviour dictates how an indicator will act, thus this should be taken into consideration when it comes to any trading decision made. The readings from technical indicators are based on price action. For example, if the price has gone up enough to make the short period MA crossover the long period MA it creates a long signal. Many traders see this as “the MA crossover made the price go up.” However, it happened the opposite way, the MA crossover signal happened because the price went up. Thus price behaviour should be taken into consideration when trading decisions are made.

 

Trading decisions based only on technical indicators give less accurate results. For example, a long signal generated by a MA crossover as the market reaches an important resistance level; when the price suddenly starts to bounce back off the important level there is no reason on taking the signal, the price action is showing that the market does not want to go up. Most of the time, under these conditions, the market will continue to fall down, no matter the MA crossover. However, this does not mean technical indicators are not an important aspect of trading. They help show certain conditions that are difficult to see by watching pure price action. When making the decision, price action consideration into Forex trading system will generate higher probability trades.

 

How to create a Perfect Forex Trading System

 

Firstly, the trader should find the trading system that fits their trading personality otherwise it will be difficult to understand it. Each trader has different needs and goals, thus there is no system that perfectly fits all traders. Researching on various trading styles and technical indicators is crucial. This allows the trader to find a concept which perfectly works for them. As well as that, knowing the nature of the technical indicators chosen is essential.

 

Secondly, price action is incorporated in the traders system. Thus, the trader will only take long signals if the price behaviour tells them the market wants to go up, and short signals if the market indicates that it will go down. Thirdly, and most crucial to achieving the perfect Forex trading system, the traders chosen system has to be followed rigorously. It should first be tested out and then it can be moved to a mini forex account. When finally comfortable and being consistently profitable, the system can be applied to a regular account.

 

By following the guidelines above, the creation of a perfect forex trading system should allow for higher rates of return.

Arkaitz Arteaga MarketStock.net